Showing posts with label mortgage. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mortgage. Show all posts

Friday, August 7, 2009

Some Consumers Still Don't Get It

Let's get to the point. This morning's release of unemployment (down from June) and payrolls up did not help things either. Once again, giddy investors trying to look for the silver lining to make themselves feel good about investing in the stock market. So once again...they pull their money out of bonds to invest in those stocks. This makes bond prices fall, as they want to attract more buyers with the low price, and yields (rates) go up on those bonds. Hence, there you have it, the mortgage backed securities are affected. Yesterday we had a reprice 2 times, and today already once.

So what is the takeaway? How about I explain it like this. I had a prospect email me yesterday and linked me to a graph (from the internet) of what the benchmark 30 yr fixed 'potentially' could do in the next 9 months. He is nervous. Doesnt know if he should buy. When? How can he assure himself the best rate?

He had asked for my opinion, so I gave it to him. No sugarcoating. In the nicest , most diplomatic way I know how, I implored him to consider that this was the home he was going to raise his family. Spend his free time, throwing ball with his kids. This was NOT Vegas, and trying to play the market by estimating the exact time to get in on a 5% rate was surely setting him up for disappointment. Surely. And further, that anything under 7%, historically speaking, is a gift. So in summary, I advised him to make an offer when the timing and the price seemed right for his family, and not to gauge it on what rate he thinks he will/will not get . Rates will increase. That is a given, with inflation surely soon to set in.

I'll end this weeks thoughts with a short story. I had a friend call me about a refinance. Her husband has bad credit, so the loan has to be in her name (she has 700 score). But she has no job. Husband earns cash, and deposits in her account. She recently went to get a car loan, and they gave it to her, without checking the employment, and thought surely this meant that now she could get a mortgage by just verifying deposits to her bank account each month, and 'saying' the job was hers. At first, I was not sure how to respond, thinking it must be April Fools day. But then very politely, and patiently, I said that (1) we cannot verify cash , and (2) It was not willing to mislead my employer about her work history when that was not true (aka: Fraud!= Jail).

Takeaway on this short story? SOME CONSUMERS DONT GET IT. So rather than wondering if they qualify or not, get them to us EARLY for pre qualification. That way we can set the record straight early on.

Friday, June 19, 2009

Home Valuation Code of Conduct - ACT NOW!

This is a SPECIAL EDITION , and the most important column I have ever written. The integrity of the appraisal process as we know it has been severely, and I mean severely, compromised.

All of you realtors have likely already been affected somehow if you have closed a loan since May 1, when HVCC (Home Valuation Code of Conduct) became our reality after a very persuasive New York Atty General persuaded Fannie and Freddie to amend their guidelines to his personal gain- winning a case. You need to forward this to ALL YOUR CLIENTS, past , present, and future. The people that the legislators will listen to are the homeowners (not the realtors, nor the lenders, who’s income is dependent on the process. Not to mention lenders/loan officers are taboo now anyway, in their eyes). So if you are not selling a home today, you will be, and this will most certainly affect you! So consumers need to take action now! And of course if we do, it won’t hurt.


THIS IS HOW YOU CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE!
NY Attorney General Andrew Cuomo's Office: (212) 416-8000,
Internet ComplaintFederal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA): (866) 796-5595, director@fhfa.gov
Fannie Mae: (202) 752-7000, headquarters@fanniemae.com
Freddie Mac: (703) 903-2000,
Also, please contact your local TV and Newspaper outlets.

Below are talking points and background information to assist in your conversations. Please remember we are all professionals and should conduct ourselves accordingly in any communication with the above parties. For the most successful and influential calls, it is important to concisely quantify how the HVCC is affecting your consumer and your business.

Talking Points:
1) National Assoc of Mortgage Brokers (NAMB) conservatively estimates (breakdown below) that the HVCC is costing consumers over 2.8 BILLION dollars a year in extra fees, created by long delays (extended lock-in fees) and higher appraisal costs.
2) Unregulated Appraisal Management Companies (AMCs), who have been the subject of several misconduct investigations, are the centerpiece of the HVCC. The original Cuomo investigation involved a federally chartered bank and an AMC.
3) AMCs are driving honest appraisers and mortgage brokers from business, eliminating competition, increasing costs to consumers and reducing state revenue. The HVCC is causing significant delays in real estate transactions, hurting real estate agents, title companies and other third parties reliant on turnaround time.
4) HVCC does nothing to reduce fraud, as it legitimizes the same failed model, which was the subject of Attorney General Cuomo's investigation.
5) No Portability! Consumers are "trapped" with a specific lender. If a better deal becomes available with a different lender, the consumer is forced to pay for another appraisal.

Background:
I. Lack of Portability
A. Lenders are not allowing borrowers to transfer appraisals, regardless of the reason.
B. Forces the borrower to pay for another appraisal and wait for a new appraiser to be assigned and complete it, increasing the total cost and time needed for obtaining a home. Delays in turnaround times also cause the borrower to miss rate lock deadlines and possibly face penalties charged by the lender.
C. In a poll conducted by NAMB, 75.8% of respondents said that 0% of their appraisals are portable since the enactment of the HVCC.

II. Lack of Quality
A. AMCs are assigning appraisers from a different municipality, county, or even state to appraise the target house, therefore unfamiliar with the neighborhood and unable to produce an accurate appraisal. i. Because of this, the HVCC is forcing appraisers to be in direct violation of the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) for jurisdictional competence.
B. Because AMCs pay appraisers such low fees, those assigned appraisers willing to do the work are often inexperienced and fail to adequately appraise the home.

III. Increased Cost of Appraisals
A. The minimum increase we have seen in direct consumer cost is $150 per appraisal. That, coupled with the drastically increased appraisal turnaround times that impose extended lock periods at an average expense of $561.95 per loan, is now costing consumers an estimated additional $711.95 per transaction.
B. $150.00 - minimum increase per appraisal$561.95 - average loan amount of $224,778 at .25% for extended lock period$711.95 - average total increase per transactionx 3,870,552* - 2007 HMDA report of residential real estate loans originated$2,755,639,496 - $2.8BILLION in increased fees to consumers!

IV. Articles Illustrating the Effects of the HVCC
A. The Appraisal Bubble - The Center for Public Integrity
B. The Cure is Worse than the Disease - Appraisal Press
C. Appraisals Roil Real Estate Deals - The Wall Street Journal Feel free to forward these articles and/or reference them in your conversations

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

Will mortgage rates go back down?

It feels like summer ! Not only is school out and the traffic is eased up, but it feels like summer! The glorious hot days dear to Houstonians are officially here. So are the home buyers! We continue to see contracts pending, and inventory lessening. Thank goodness! There are still, however, some appraisals that come back with inventory at a 6 mo + supply. To lenders, that means a ‘declining market’. And beware that if your listing is in such an area, the lender may have some additional conditions, or may not even do the loan at all. That’s right, declining markets are not favorable. The reason? If we foreclose, we don’t want large marketing times to get rid of it! It also signifies a trend downward in prices. No lender wants to be on the top end of the market. So encourage your sellers to consider all realistic offers. I suppose realistic is the main catch here. Who knows in these unprecedented times? There may be other reasons, but that is the main concern.

The First Time Homebuyer Credit – in all its glory, has to be the most confusing legislation there is right now. No one is clear on what, how or when. The latest rumor is that FHA will allow the moneys to advance for down payment. Part of it is true, but keep reading. Our representatives on Capitol Hill have no idea what has to happen to ‘advance’ a tax credit to a homeowner. Who will check if they are delinquent on any federal debt? Who will advance the money (a HUD memo states it has to be a ‘3rd party’, certainly not them). Ok, then who? Is it really a good idea to advance money anyway before its spent? Isn’t that what got us in this mess to begin with? And then, the legislation just last week changed yet again, and now FHA loan purchases can use the money ONLY toward closing costs, not down payment. Again, WHO will administer this money? No lender thus far has jumped on this idea. So the opportunity may be there for your buyers, but they need to settle to the fact they will get it upon filing 2009 return. Not too much to ask for free money!

Interest Rates – are still low! Maybe not the 4.5% of last month, but STILL historically, low! As compared to 2 weeks ago, almost up a full point! Why? Good news in the market. Could it be from the good news to investors that Angelo Muzilo has been charged with Fraud, and that gives them a ‘temporary’ feeling that the culprits are about to be caught? Or could it be that banks are to pay back tarp money? Or maybe the ‘come clean’ speech to Muslims by our President in Egypt last week. I would have thought that the unemployment doldrums would have shocked rates back down…but no such luck yet. Rates also have gone up due to positive indicators in the market. Words from our legislators and commander in chief like ‘not as bad as it was’, or ‘the recession end may be near’ ……those types of words allow investors in stocks to feel like buying. When they buy, investors pull money out of bonds. Then bond rates go up, as the price is down to attract buyers back into the bond market.

Will rates go back down? – THAT is the million dollar question. Who knows. But inflation and higher rates is INEVITABLE. Take my word. My advice? If your buyers are holding out for rates to come down, or purchase prices to come down, they may be missing the boat on living in the present. Our (primary) homes are where we raise our families and share time with loved ones. If it makes sense, do it. If not, wait. But hanging on for a false sense of reality may be missing the boat on opportunity that is right in front of them.

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Beumont Appraiser to Valuate a River Oaks Listing

This is Major Hernandez, reporting from the enemy lines. Lots of activity this week. We were shot at by underwriters, dodged by appraisers, and yelled at by our processors. JUST KIDDING. It is sometimes a war zone though! Mostly from some of the recent regulation passed down (my previous emails have mentioned the appraisal changes). I thought this week I would summarize for you the day in the life of a mortgage originator. Maybe there will be one tidbit of information you can use to help your clients close on time!

Here is a summary of what happened this week:·
Clients current lender (the FDIC) offered a 15% principal reduction if he would refinance within 30 days !·

Rumored by one of my competitors that underwriters no longer accept a non realty add – THIS IS WRONG……·

Mortgage Lender (remaining nameless) is turning away clients saying 90 days min processing time to close – actually 2 (hint: they are in the top 5 national lenders)·

Seller rejects pre approval letter from buyers mortgage company because fear they will not close on time (one of the national lenders mentioned above)·

Realtor I know gets a call from an appraiser (not mine!) from Tyler , TX (this is a true story)·
Prospect calls me and asks if we do liar loans- IS HE KIDDING?·

At closing, we discover that borrower quit his job (we always call the day of closing to the employer!!!) HINT: don’t quit job day of closing·

We saved 2 borrowers from losing their close dates- and closed their loan in 7 days! (the first lender dropped the ball for the last 6 weeks). Hard to do in this market!

Well, at least I can say my job is interesting. Actually, I love every minute of it! So please, if you have a client that needs a trusted mortgage lender, we are your answer. Thank you for your referrals!

Friday, October 24, 2008

Even Qualified Borrowers are Holding Back......

Did you know that in Houston, sales are down, yes, but the average home price is up? That is economics at its best. Who would have expected that? I do not even pay attention to national stats anymore. Do they matter? Each housing market is in of itself, a statistic. Locally, I can report that for the first time in my entire career (14 years) I have noticed recently (this month) people holding back not sure what to do . Qualified borrowers. Maybe they are unsure about their job, or the down payment was coming from their stock that was losing money.



However, This week things did begin to pick back up for us. I reported last week that my desk was clean, well, it is dirty again, with papers disheveled and stacked. The phones have been ringing. I had 3 calls just this week to ‘save’ deals that were falling out with other lenders could not approve them. We are glad to assist! For you to know, we can close files in 48 hours if needed. But each of our realtors is only allowed 1 of those favors a month! That was, of course, a joke. Foreclosure filings have spiked 71%, nationally. In September, 81,312 homes were lost to foreclosure. Since a year ago, 851,000 have been repossessed by lenders.



This brings up a point I would like to share. Fannie and Freddie have of recent come up with some guidelines regarding homes that are being financed in areas with high foreclosures as a percent of the total sales in the last 12 months. If that number is greater than 15%, there is a problem. I had to turn down a borrower for that reason 3 months ago. He was purchasing a property in a neighborhood that had 27% foreclosures (as a % of total listings sold) in the last 12 months. I was mad, frustrated and quite frankly, baffled. How will we as a society ever get OUT of this mess, if the lenders will not even loan on properties they are foreclosing on? I understand that this ‘guideline’ is in place to avoid the lenders investing in areas that are on the decline, but when the homes are selling that should amount to something? There has to be a solution. But I have not been able to think of one, so stay tuned on that subject.



RATES ARE DOWN THIS WEEK! (.25%). The stock market took some heavy losses, and in anticipation of the Fed Funds rate possibly coming down another .500%, investors are pricing that into the market. Its about time we have some relief in rates. Now if we can convince Fannie/Freddie (aka the government, right?) to increase the conforming limit to $650,000 or so, we will be fine. It would be about time! There is a show on MSNBC called Mad Money. Cramer (the host) is just beside himself today. He is on right now, waiving his arms and screaming. Today’s headline is :‘The Dow is down 15 of the last 19 weeks. Down 36% total.’ MORE REASON TO PUT YOUR MONEY INTO REAL ESTATE! In my opinion, it is still the best investment there is.

Sunday, October 19, 2008

Smart people are buying

Well, my desk is organized, I have worked out 6 times this week, AND been on time to pick up my son from school five days in a row. While these methods sound ideal, I function better with my chaotic life of running around with not a moment to spare and my cell phone ringing off the wall. It’s productive and energizing. My point here is that things are a bit slow. Since the hurricane, phones are ringing less, understandably, as people are putting lives back together. One thing I am hearing a lot of, is comments from prospective buyers that the stock market turmoil are making them consider twice before buying a home. I could not disagree more on their decision. For any buyer (in the nation) that has funds for down payment, good credit, and have debt to income ratios that are in line, it is an EXCELLENT time to buy! Good credit and down payment knows no boundaries, my friends. There is plenty of lending going on, believe me. What we do not have are buyers. They are holding off, during the most opportune time in perhaps history when inventories are high (meaning there are deals to be had), and rates are still historically low! 30 Year Fixed for 6.0% ? Come on….. you cannot get much better than that.

This week we did have quite a scare as the mortgage rates shot up ½% in a matter of days. But today we are exactly where we were a week ago. No banks went bankrupt this week, that is encouraging. As I visit with friends in the industry, I try to gather details you can use to support your business. To give you words that are encouraging in these troubled times. How about : (1) MSNBC.com wrote that Texas topped the list for job creation. Houston-Dallas-Fort Worth are 1-2-3 in the latest rankings of the 100 largest metropolitan areas. (2) Houston is forecasted have added 50,000-70,000 jobs total this year – that means that 33,000 new homes will be needed (1.5 homes for every job added) (3) That job creation number will be similar in 2009! (4) Patriot Bank STILL is offering their 4.0% high yield money market, and (5) The elections are almost over!!!!!

The uncertainty in the political leadership is touching every aspect of our economy. People naturally want to know what to expect. Then we can deal with it. Make a plan! In my opinion, that is why Wall Street has been so volatile, the mortgage rates are unpredictable, and buyers are adopting a wait and see approach. The smart folks are buying. They know opportunity when they see it.

Rates as of Friday, October 17, 2008 (net down for the week)

The following assumptions apply:
20% Down Payment
1% Origination Fee
Escrows Required (if no escrow, higher fees may apply)
Purchase Transactions,
Primary Residence
30 day closingCredit Score
720 +Full Documentation of Income/AssetsLoans
> 1 mm require 30% down for these terms Conforming
($250,000* - $417,000) Jumbo ($417,001- $1,500,000*)
30 year (fixed) 6.000% APR 6.130% 30 year ( fixed ) 7.005% APR 7.177% 15 year (fixed) 5.750% APR 5.966% 15 year ( fixed ) 6.350% APR 6.551% 3/1 ARM 5.600% APR 5.728% 3/1 ARM 5.600% APR 5.716% 5/1 ARM 5.375% APR 5.501% 5/1 ARM 5.500% APR 5.620%
7/1 ARM 5.625% APR 5.752% 7/1 ARM 5.750% APR 5.872%FHA/VA call for quote (max loan $270,000)

We do originate loans below $250,000. These amounts are chosen to show the most favorable rates. For other product options or for loan amounts less than $250,000 or above $1,500,000 please call for quote.We also do VA and FHA loans! Call for details! If you know of someone who would appreciate my services, please contact me with their name and number and I will be happy to help them!

Jennifer Hernandez
Vice President/Mortgage ConsultantPatriot Bank Mortgage
Office: 713-337-8400
Mobile: 713-446-7791
E-mail: jennifer@patriotbankusa.com
Web: www.loanwithjennifer.com
Information provided in this e-mail is intended as a tool for Real Estate Agents to be informed of the approximate rates available for home mortgages. It is intended for their sole use and purpose only and is not for distribution to the general public. Depending on the borrower's actual circumstances, such as credit, debt ratios, etc., rates may vary. Special niche products may also be available.
This email and any files transmitted with it are confidential and are intended solely for the use of the individual or entity to whom it is addressed. This communication may contain protected or privileged material and should only be viewed by the intended recipient(s). If you are not the intended recipient or the person responsible for delivering the email to the intended recipient(s), be advised that you have received this email in error and that any use, dissemination, forwarding, printing or copying of this email is strictly prohibited.

Friday, October 10, 2008

Don’t look at your stocks today!

The stock market is depressing, I know. Most of you are not retiring tomorrow, right? Let’s joke so we can feel better…that we will now retire at 97. I certainly do not mean to make light of any of the losses we are all suffering in the markets. But lets us take a step back, and keep things in perspective. (1) You signed up for this the day you bought the stock- you knew the risk. It can go up, and go down (2) You have not complained at the gains you have made before 2007, certainly (3) TAKE A BREATH, stop ‘micro’ trading, and ride out the storm. Now for those of you that need the money now, I can certainly understand the wig factor you are experiencing. Talk to your advisor, put money in cash for a while. Take a break. But if you have a few months…sit it out. The market will rebound. The elections will pass, there will be confidence restored. History has shown us that.

Several clients this week were calling me about pulling out of contracts, or waiting until things calm in the markets. My question was ‘ Why?’ Real estate is the BEST investment there is. It is tangible. Furthermore, rates are still historically low, or at least average. By historically low, I mean in the last 20 years, not the last 5! Our problem is that we still remember the 3 month period back in 2003 when the 30 year fixed reached 5.0%. Those of us that really wanted to roll the dice, got a 7/1 ARM at 4.375%. As sexy as that may be, we know the end result, it was a pipe dream to think that would last. What has this thinking taught us? We as a society have a false sense of comfort in thinking that rates can stay low indefinitely, or that gains in stock will be there forever. Again, we have to step back and let things ride. Budget, spend wisely, save for a rainy day, or a down payment on a house or that matter.

As for mortgage rates, this week, the FED lowered the federal funds rate .50% . This is the overnight lending rate to banks – or the fed window as it is commonly named. Rock on! That means my mortgage rate on my pending purchase just went down! NOT THE CASE. In fact, mortgage rates went up at the news. Logical? Not to the average person. But economically, when the fed rate goes down, it is cheaper for banks to borrow, which increases profits, which translates to them spending hard dollars on things like wages, goods and capital expenditures. So the news on Wed made the stock market go up, confidence restored (temporarily, I know) and the investors took money out of bonds to purchase more stock. When this happens, the bond prices are pushed down..to attract more buyers back over, and the yields then go up…to attract more buyers. When bond yields go up, mortgage rates go up. There you have it, that is exactly what has happened. We are up .25% from last week.

Enjoy your weekend, and stay away from CNN. Go to the park instead, or go to the movies, just don’t buy the concessions, since we are now budgeting and all.

Friday, October 3, 2008

Show me the money!

Just as I am writing this, the House passed the Bailout Plan. No One has published details yet....but you can turn on any news channel this weekend, and I am sure, get the details. As this week was consumed with news of a bailout, no bailout, economic crisis if no bailout, our interest rates were holding steady, but higher than last week. Uncertainty kills the market. Both in bonds and in stocks. This next week will be interesting for sure as we see how the markets react to this (false?) sense of security. This decision to pass the bailout plan, whatever that means, is just a short term means to resolve the crisis. Long term effects are yet to come. Wells Fargo announced it will buy Wachovia for 15.1 Billion - or will they? Wachovia entered into an earlier agreement with Citgroup, or so they thought. That will be next weeks’ big newsline: Battle of the Banks. Another one bites the dust.

This week, I had a realtor friend forward me an article that a client sent her. The article focused on why it is better to rent than to buy. How does one respond to their client about this article written by an MBA graduate that has credibility and a title? (should I be scared?). NO WAY! You tell your client the truth. That if they google long enough, they will find many articles telling them what they want to hear. Well, this article did have some points to ponder, if you are a single person, no kids, no pets, travel 75% of the time, and have no life. That is about 1% of our population. In my honest opinion, this 'money' guru was trying to do one thing. Shake things up. Have a fresh point of view.

Homeownership is a choice. Personally, I did not buy my gorgeous (and best landscaping in the neighborhood) home in order to make a profit. This is where I raise my child, welcome my friends and family, and where I find peace and serenity after a long days work. So when a 'guru' writes an article about the fact that we should all become tennants and leave our 'investing' to the stock market, I say BLAH. I will play the 'Pride of Homeownership ' card any day. He can take his parque floors and brady bunch curtains and ....I don't know, take a hike into the real world.

Furthermore, while we are on the topic of buyer beware, another question I get often is: Should we wait to buy a house? Its hard to get a loan right now? My answer as an insider would be NO. Our business is running status quo. Sure, guidelines are tightening, and it is harder to obtain a loan (if you have no savings, and adverse credit). There are some borrowers that do get caught in the middle that would normally qualify. My answer to this is: If you feel that you fit in this category (you know who you are), call a lender 3-6 months before buying. This gives us enough time to plan, and advise of any credit changes/corrections you need before you fit into a program. Gone are the days you can call around for financing the day your earnest money becomes hard. In my experience, everyone, and I do mean everyone, has a special circumstance we need to accommodate for closing. We just need to plan ahead.

Also note, MONEY IS AVAILABLE! There are plenty of investors that are financing mortgage backed securities. Just look at the rates below! I can assure you that home loans will not disappear from the earth. Will rates go up a little? Maybe. Will they go down? It’s anybody’s guess. Act now. Times are good for buyers. SMART people are buying now and taking advantage of the buyers market mixed with low interest rates.